Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.008846 0.010431 0.012342 0.014854 0.018128 0.022339 0.028319
2025-08-31 0.006903 0.008797 0.011353 0.015191 0.021075 0.030269 0.046977
2025-09-07 0.005658 0.007548 0.010282 0.014757 0.022429 0.036309 0.067393
2025-09-14 0.004792 0.006600 0.009346 0.014134 0.023083 0.041356 0.090879
2025-09-21 0.004280 0.006063 0.008892 0.014124 0.024756 0.049333 0.132082
2025-09-28 0.003992 0.005815 0.008837 0.014774 0.027975 0.063174 0.220369
2025-10-05 0.003853 0.005775 0.009113 0.016117 0.033368 0.088194 0.457913
2025-10-12 0.003630 0.005559 0.009029 0.016691 0.037214 0.113409 0.920504
2025-10-19 0.003346 0.005200 0.008614 0.016428 0.038664 0.131781 1.652975
2025-10-26 0.003145 0.004963 0.008397 0.016569 0.041456 0.161787 4.007603
2025-11-02 0.002927 0.004671 0.008029 0.016255 0.042655 0.186366 10.106911
2025-11-09 0.002675 0.004293 0.007438 0.015259 0.041053 0.190815 18.384396
2025-11-16 0.002447 0.003958 0.006935 0.014496 0.040438 0.206402 69.869917
2025-11-23 0.002329 0.003824 0.006843 0.014828 0.044435 0.276957 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002169 0.003592 0.006508 0.014408 0.045119 0.321436 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002014 0.003357 0.006137 0.013805 0.044697 0.354596 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001916 0.003223 0.005979 0.013795 0.047179 0.452567 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001865 0.003182 0.006024 0.014424 0.053578 0.710602 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001853 0.003217 0.006254 0.015723 0.065534 1.511135 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001800 0.003162 0.006259 0.016278 0.073813 2.845748 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001714 0.003029 0.006052 0.016024 0.076084 4.115402 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001652 0.002944 0.005955 0.016160 0.081884 7.907254 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001577 0.002823 0.005755 0.015856 0.083723 12.759821 NaN